I shared this link
last week with my club members ... a timely preparedness marketplace overview:
Appraisals, reports, and insights regarding the state of the industry
•The numerous and diverse potential scenarios associated with emergency and disaster preparedness is so pervasive in contemporary culture that a broad spectrum of citizens have begun to take some form of action. Others are acutely aware of the probable dangers and are waiting for a significant triggering event to act.
•If a serious event were to occur, fence-sitters and those who have done nothing to prepare would overwhelm preparedness suppliers, manufacturers, and normal retail outlets. Products will be sold out or long lead times will prevail. The nature of the triggering events will determine the availability of preparedness supplies for both the short and long terms.
•Preparedness niche companies and their suppliers have a limited supply of goods on hand during normal business activity. At all levels of the supply chain there is a restricted amount of products available. Y2K, hurricanes, and international disasters have all been testaments to disruptions in certain product availability. A widespread and prolonged emergency will have a devastating effect on the availability of goods and services. This is especially true of specialty food processors.
•The mainstream media will not accurately depict the real state of affairs regarding the current conditions in our society. This relates to politics, the economy, financial issues, government action and inaction, weather effects, and anything that would be valuable for citizens to know so that they can prepare in advance for shortages. Information is significantly manipulated, controlled, and fabricated. This includes what you hear and what you don’t hear.
•The current drought has had some effect on food prices and availability, but not catastrophically. The increases in costs have already been factored in as they relate to commodity futures. Corn, soybeans, and wheat were the crops most affected by the drought, as were potatoes and to a smaller extent other vegetables and fruits.
•A record corn crop was initially anticipated, so the effect of the drought could have been worse. NOTE: 40% of the U.S. corn crop goes for ethanol.
•Currently the price of most beans has dropped some due to good yields in North Dakota, where 2/3 of the nation’s beans are grown. Availability of beans and other grains is good.
•Rice prices and availability are stable.
•Freeze-dried food processors are very busy and are experiencing an increasing demand for fruit and vegetables from non-preparedness manufacturers. This is causing shortages in some products. The drought has not substantially affected fruit and vegetables.
•There has been a shortage in some “ready” or “no-cooking-required” ingredients that are necessary for entrée and blended recipes. Many of these ingredients use non-freeze-drying technology to enable a no-cooking requirement.
•Quality domestic food ingredients are becoming more difficult to source. It is essential that consumers do diligent research to establish trust with reputable manufacturers. Many current preparedness food packers have succumbed to using lower-quality imported and processed foods.
•Currently, other vital preparedness provisions – electronics, medical, tools, water filters, and such, are in adequate supply. Last year at this time there were shortages.
•Prices have risen in many sectors due to a multitude of factors such as transportation, packaging (paper prices have seen a steep increase), cost of benefits to employees, fuel, raw materials, regulations unfavorable to small business, and lack of credit. Prices are expected to continue to rise, and with any new detrimental financial event they will rise dramatically.
•As shortages begin to appear, lead times for fulfillment will increase. There are examples of shortages and back orders piling up that caused 16-week delays in delivery.
•The current debilitating state of our nation and the attitudes of despair of our citizens are unprecedented in my lifetime.
•I and others see a substantial spike in demand for preparedness food and supplies from possibly right before to definitely after the November election. Negative reaction to the outcome of the election will be momentous – no matter who wins. We will soon know how serious the reaction will be, what form it will take, and what governmental actions will be executed.