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Old 10-08-2012, 19:59   #1
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Battleground Poll: Romney Up 16 with Independents, Up 13 In Enthusiasm

Battleground Poll: Romney Up 16 with Independents, Up 13 In Enthusiasm

In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35.

That's a 24-point swing among independents since 2008, a group that makes up anywhere from a quarter to a third of voters, and yet Battleground still has Obama in the lead 49-48…?

But if I'm skeptical of those bottom-line numbers, our journalist overlords who have chosen to palace guard instead of question will declare me a "truther."

The Battleground Poll also shows a 13 point enthusiasm gap in Romney's favor. Only 73% of Obama's supporters are "extremely likely" to vote, compared to 86% of Romney's supporters.

What about that 1200licks

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Old 10-08-2012, 20:36   #2
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When you factor in that a vast majority of independents vote against a sitting incumbent, you can add most of the "undecided" to Romney's numbers. Take the 51-35 poll...that leaves out 14%. If, say, 10% vote for Romney and 1% for 3rd party candidates, then it could be 61-38 in favor of Romney. An enthusiasm gap could widen this.

As for Rasmussen's poll of all likely voters showing 49-47 in favor of Romney, that's 4% leftover. 2% to Romney, 1% to Zero, 1% to 3rd party. 51-48 in favor of Romney.
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Old 10-08-2012, 20:52   #3
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so hows he doing in states that matter? Remember percentage of population dont matter unless its OH FL or VA.
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